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“The popular narrative after 2012 that Obama won due to historic mobilization of young and non-white voters was completely wrong and the resulting consequences of that narrative have led to massive strategic errors that have put American democracy at risk.” Nate Cohn of the NYT’s Upshot on how erroneous data from the 2012 exit polls created a powerful narrative – that white working-class voters were no longer a major part of the Democratic coalition – which was completely wrong. “You know how the story ends. The real Obama coalition – an alliance of northern white working class voters and high Black turnout – evaporated in 2016.” Via David Shor.